NHL win probabilities
A static, honest first-pass NHL model using official NHL schedule/results, chronological Elo/Glicko updates, home-ice advantage, and season carryover.
Completed games
6,560
Walk-forward Brier
0.2383
Accuracy context
58.6%
Upcoming forecast
Predictions are generated only for unplayed regular-season games found in the NHL API.
Generated
6/9/2026, 2:42:52 AM
6/9/2026, 2:42:52 AM
No upcoming regular-season NHL fixtures were present in the latest pull. The current data covers 20212022, 20222023, 20232024, 20242025, 20252026; refresh with npm run ingest && npm run ratings when the next schedule appears.